First Home Buyer Figures Understated

The Australia Bureau of Statistics (ABS) have released revised First Home Buyer (FHB) figures after an investigation into the accuracy of estimates of loans to first home buyers.

The figures released in November 2014 had put the number of FHB loan commitments at 6,061 but the revised figures now put the number of commitments at 7,627, an increase of 25.8%

“Initially we thought the fall-off in first home buyer loans over the last two years was due to reduced affordability arising from changes in grants, rising house prices, increased investment housing loan activity and general economic conditions,” Ms Hodges said in a statement.

“However, subsequent analysis and follow-up with lenders has confirmed that the drop was partly due to under-reporting by some lenders.” said Ms Hodges.

The ABS is now working with the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority which collects the first home buyer loan data for the ABS to ensure all loans to first home buyers are recorded in the future, regardless of whether they receive a first home owner grant or not. In the meantime, the ABS will adjust first home buyer data for this under-reporting using estimates based on data provided by lenders that reported correctly.

Although the ABS has released revised figures for November 2014 it could well be that the figures released for FHB’s over the past two years has been significantly understated.

The First Home Owner Grant scheme in New South Wales provides a grant of $15,000 and only applies to eligible first home owners who purchase a new home or build their home. This grant will reduce to $10,000 on 1 January 2016.

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